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Mortgage Bonds Rise Rates Could Follow

by Andrew on August 8, 2009

Fannie and Freddie are on soaring. For five days in a row Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage securities have rose. Interesting the rise in mortgage bonds is not due to an increase in the mortgage refinancing and modifying but in a reduction in refinancing, well below the forecasted levels.
Bloomberg.com reported yesterday a rise in Fannie Mae’s current-coupon 30 year fixed rate mortgage bonds of 0.09 to 4.8 percent.  This is the highest since June 18.

What has driven this rise in Mortgage Bonds?

The Treasury Department has published reports with higher benchmark rates due to a recent report that showed a slowing down in the number of jobs lost in the United States.

What are the effects?

This rise in mortgage rates has caused refinancing to slow down. This is evident when you see the drop of 21 percent on the number of prepayments last month to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac securities. This drop was sharper than analysts predicted triggering the rise in mortgage bonds.
The rise in mortgage rates after record lows in interest rates has slowed down the number of mortgage refinancing, making it much harder homeowners without the best credit rating to get their mortgage refinance approved.

How Is The Obama Administration Reacting?

The Obama Administration announced a loosening of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac rules in order to boost the number of borrowers that refinance and modify their loans by increasing the percentage of the home value the mortgage can represent to 125% of the house’s value. This helps homeowners that have seen the value of their house drop refinance.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are also planning to reduce their home financing costs. Currently even the government sponsored mortgage companies charge up to 2% of loan balances with sub-premium customers with low equity or credit scores.
The Bottom Line

An increase in mortgage bond rates is not necessarily good news for borrowers as it will increase interest rates but the rise is being pushed by lower unemployment growth which is a good news for the overall economy. Government mortgage companies Freddie Mac and Fannie May must also reinvest their “profits” in aiding borrowers in trouble by either reducing their fees or the principal on loans which can be good news for borrowers in the future.

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    Fannie and Freddie charge *3* points for borrowers with a 620-659 Fico, with 25% equit in their home.
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