Has The Mortgage Refinancing Season Ended

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Has The Mortgage Refinancing Season Ended

Mortgage refinancing has become as exciting as watching the stock market. The once droll and wonderful (for home owners) business of seeing interests remain pretty much stable while house prices increased with any sign of stopping has been exchanged for the much more exciting activity of seeing how low the interest rates can be dropped and how far the Government can bend back to lower them further.

This has created an excellent opportunity for those conservative people that were boring and smart enough to save when everybody was spending of being prudent when prudence seemed pointless, because if you have cash now and an excellent credit score you could get the deal of your life. With 30 year interest rates at historical lows you could buy the house of your dreams for around 4.25%.

This window of opportunity is of course not the main outcome the Government is working towards although it may very well prove to be a benign side effect that can further contribute to jump start the credit and housing industry.

The main issue Government is trying to deal with when lower is as we mentioned to incentivize the buying of new and built homes while giving home owners that have fallen in financial difficulties the possibility of renegotiation their mortgages at a more advantageous rate of interest. If a family renegotiates their mortgage wisely the significant drop in interest rates could mean the difference between affording the monthly mortgage payments and not. For those home owners that are not in any particular financial strife it can mean paying off the mortgage sooner or financing the purchase of a car or a home improvement on the interest drop.

However the fear for those that are planning to modify their loans or are in the process of getting their paperwork or credit in order is that they will miss the train. That the Government’s incentives will work raising interest rates and closing the window of opportunity that currently exists.

Should we worry?
If we are to trust the Mortgage Bankers Association’s chief economist the answer is no. Jay Brinkmann the MBA’s chief economist predicts that in the next the current interest rates should hold for the next six to seven months. That is music to the ears of home owners that see how their loan modification and mortgage refinancing procedures take more than they expect or is experiencing delays in getting to the closing table.
If you are wondering who to thank for the drop in interest rates thank the Uncle Sam for investing so heavily in Banks, providing cheap money for banks to invest in insured loans and mortgages.

The sobering question is how long can this continue for, the short to mid-term may be safe but can this continue in the long term? It can’t if you listen to Dan Cutaia, president of Fairway Independent Mortgage Corp who recently said at an MBA’s conference: “The government can’t keep printing money and buying mortgage backed securities forever”.

Historically the secondary housing market has been a meeting place for investors and borrowers where offer and demand created its own prices and conditions. The government has modified the “natural” state of things by using its muscle to provide the money few are willing to invest.

What will happen in the long term is a bridge we have yet to cross, however if you are currently in the market to refinance or buy a home don’t worry you will not miss train, low interest rates are here to stay, for now.