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Failing economy is good news for ARMs

by Constantine von Hoffman on February 10, 2009

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There is a small amount of silver in the middle of this massive storm cloud – interest rates are dropping for many adjustable rate mortgages.

Some 420,000 hybrid ARMs are scheduled to reset in the coming year. For a while many observers were afraid that they would reset higher. Had that happened it certainly would have added to the flood of foreclosures. But thanks to the incredible disappearing interest rate they have dropped and some are now better deals than some fixed rate mortgages.

For many borrowers ARMs were a gamble. They allowed people who couldn’t afford the payments of a standard 30-year-fixed to buy houses. The laughable rationale for these loans was once the value of the houses increased borrowers could refinance before the end of the lower introductory interest rates. As a result, these loans went to a lot of what are now referred to as “the most vulnerable” borrowers.  (Lenders, of course, had no reason to care about whether borrowers would be able to make good on loans that were just going to be palmed off on some other financial institution.)

Now it seems that ARMs may turn out to be a better deal for The Most Vulnerable despite the theory behind them. As interest rates have tanked the mortgages have refinanced themselves. Now if the borrowers can just keep their jobs…

Constantine von Hoffman is a veteran business journalist and author of the blog CollateralDamage, a satirical look at marketing and business.

Last 3 posts by Constantine von Hoffman

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  • saluki
    Of course, we hardly ever hear about the good features of ARMS WHETHER HYBRIDS OR OPTION ARMS.

    A good option arm (good margin, good index, and 1.25 cap factor) for the right borrower is a wonderful loan.

    Being in sales, my option arm saved me while my income dropped and the fully index rate stayed below fixed rates for 5 yrs. When that changed, my income had gone up, my proerty value went up, and I refinanced,

    In additon, I got a large deferred interest ($26,000) tax benefit when my income had gone up, saving me substantial taxes.

    They were excellent for rental properies as well with the max. annual payment cap of 7.5% allowing the onwer to reasonably increas rent to keep up with the mortgage and providcash flow.

    just like drugs they can be very beneficial or abused. And of course there is always risk involved.

    Unfortunately, for borrowers we have lost a good product that was abused by the secondary market, lenders, brokers, and borrowers.
  • There is $500 billion in Option ARM’s that will be resetting interest rates and/or reached 125% cap on loan to value ratio very soon.

    I believe that we will see some severe declines in housing values in next 12 months.
  • I agree with you Orlando, regardless of the current interest rate any
    homeowner with a negative amortization loan recasting in to a fully
    amortized payment is going to see at least a doubling (3x, 4x?) of their
    housing payment. It's going to explode foreclosure rates in CA, FL and NV.
  • gina
    It is a good deal IF IF the people were making the 30 year payments those that paid the minimum or negitive amortization option well their had no matter what
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