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Just the Facts no Tinfoil Hats

by Morgan on October 23, 2008

Another guest post from MG who went from Wharton to Wall St. to real estate to Blown Mortgage.

Some of my best friends wear tinfoil hats. These days, though, no sooner has a good conspiracy theory made the rounds, but it?s proven to be fact. This past weekend there were outrageous rumors that Argentina would confiscate citizens? pension money. By Wednesday afternoon it was a done deal. There?s little point in providing a link; it?s old news now.

However, and borrowing heavily from a comment on Global Economic Trend Analysis, let this be a warning to us all. The Argentine state is taking control of its citizens? privately-managed pension funds in a drastic move to raise cash. This could be a harbinger of what will happen across the world as governments discover that tax revenues are insufficient and bond markets unwilling to cover their obligations and deficit spending.


Then there was the one about war-hardened troops coming home from Iraq being stationed in cities across America. To fight terrorism, of course. Isn?t it illegal to use the armed forces for domestic law enforcement you ask? Sort of. Excluding Katrina, it happened before. That?s what the Civil War was about and, in particular, the aftermath. Regardless, they?re home and at their new battle stations throughout the country. Here?s a link to a link with the original story from Army Times plus insightful commentary: http://tinyurl.com/6dtgmn Having combat-ready troops on domestic soil will come in handy at some point, I?m sure.

So, howz about the Lehman CDS payout on Tuesday. Seamless. Nothing untoward picked up by the mainstream news or the blogosphere, nothing on Bank Implode-O-Meter and nothing on Hedge Fund Implode-o-Meter. Bit of a worldwide stock market crash, but probably unrelated. Unlimited lending from the Fed covered the banks, but what about the hedge funds? Well, hedge funds have a prime broker and the largest prime brokers are now subsidiaries of the largest banks and, to complete the loop, the banks have unlimited borrowing power. This story may not be over. For a few erudite observations, scroll down on Jim Willie?s new site: http://globaltinfoilanalysis.blogspot.com/

The Dow is back to bungee jumping, closing down almost 6% Wednesday and taking world stock markets with it on Thursday. Bloomberg reports that ?Asian stocks slumped, driving the region’s benchmark index to the lowest level in four years, as Japanese exports missed estimates, commodities prices tumbled and South Korea’s worst financial crisis in a decade deepened.? Japan was down 2.46%, the Hang Seng 3.55% and Singapore 4.14%.

One of these days the markets are going to go down and stay down. That day could even be today.

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  • Mikew
    Scare, Scare, Scare. The end of the world is coming. Better jump offf that cliff now. Sell everything and move into an underground bunker.

    I am sick of these negative articles. Now we are comparing the richest nations on earth to Argentina. Really? Is the US really getting ready to put the Army in our cities? Wow....I think someone needs to get back on their meds and quick.

    Its so easy to jump on the negative bandwagon.

    There is plenty of positive news out there. All you have to do is open yourself to looking at the facts. Oil is down over 60% in just 3 months, Gold (and most every commodity that we need) is down (not the sign of a horrible future) Interest rates are low. The stock market is in the bottoming process, Real estate (both New on Resales) sales have been ticking up. We will very soon have a new president elect (thus it benefits no one for the media or a political party to push bad economic news down our throats). Never before have so many countries contributed so much stimulus to the economic system. By all accounts this stimuls seems to be working.

    Recessions happen people. Its a healthy part of a market forces. Companies and citizens adjust their balance sheets and operating expenses. We become leaner and meaner. Thats a good thing. Its why capitalism works.

    Recessions lead to recoveries. Recoveries lead to economic expansion. This is the way it has worked. This is the way it will work.

    Now stand back from the cliff. Take a deep breath and be happy.

    A year ago I was told (from a large percentage of people on this site) there was no way the mortgage broker could possibly survive Here I sit looking forward to the future with great anticipation. I feel sorry for those who are so scared. Its a shame really.

    Heres a tip....study past economic downturns. Compare them to this one. Compare what they did right and what they did wrong. Look at what happened after the ecomony recovered. History doesn't lie.

  • Paisano1
    here is a list of headlines that look just like conspiracies to me, or is it the other way around... http://tinyurl.com/4blpsg
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