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Hidden threat in ?under water? mortgages

by Constantine von Hoffman on October 23, 2008

A guest post from Constantine von Hoffman, veteran business journalist and author of the blog CollateralDamage.biz, a humorous look at marketing, business and his dog.

Under water is the industry term for homes with negative equity ? where more is owed on them than they are worth. You know the cliché about the iceberg and only seeing the tip of it because the rest is ? well you know where. Well, the cliché is sadly still true when it comes to the mortgage crisis. The US economy is likely to be further swamped by a wave of ?under water? mortgages (how?s that for a mixed metaphor?).
This condition currently effects nearly one sixth of U.S. homeowners and is very probably going to result in more foreclosures and bankruptcies.

Reuters reports ?about 12 million U.S. homeowners owe more than their homes are worth, compared with 6.6 million at the end of last year and slightly more than 3 million at the close of 2006.? Because so many people bought homes with little or nothing down when housing prices spiked, a huge number of people are now facing this situation. Nearly one in three homes purchased since 2003 have negative equity. The number is even more terrifying for those who bought after that, nearing 50% for people who purchased homes in 2006.

The argument used to be that buying was better than renting because you are building equity. A lot of people may do the math on their homes and realize that bankruptcy makes more financial sense than paying into something they will never see a return on. No one likes to declare bankruptcy and admit this kind of defeat, so it will not be an easy or happy decision for any of these folks. However, it may be the only choice they have.

Last 3 posts by Constantine von Hoffman

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  • CRay
    I sincerely feel for the small minority of folks that were lied to and were taken advantage of by realtors, home Inspectors and lenders with garbage rates and limited terms ..

    I can feel for the ones that had little or no credit, and even less knowledge on the biggest purchase of their lives, then got consumed into a situation they had very little control of (emotionally, pyschologically and now financially) ...

    But what about the majority of buyers that had had full knowledge of what they were doing..?

    Do you purchase a $450,000 house when your current $250,000 home hasn't even sold yet..? ... and when it doesn't, you want to file bankruptcy..?

    If I don't like my current car, do I quit making the payments on it, and then purchase another one..? ... if my new $700 golf clubs don't improve my golf game this weekend, do I quit making my Visa payments on them..?

    I find it fascinating that everyone today is "Under water", they have "negative equity" - has anyone looked at their credit reports lately.? ... I don't mean their FICO score, I mean actually "LOOK" and read their credit reports.

    I look at 300/400 credit reports a month .. I find it amazing that most of these homeowners that want to file bankruptcy, or just want to "walk away" from their mortgages have accumulated thousands upon thousands of dollars of debt - and it makes their upcoming mortgage payment look like a gumball machine..

    The mortgage is 60 months old, but they leased 3 new BMW's in the last 58 months which increased their monthly expenditure by $900 a month ... and at 52 months they couldn't live without that $10,000 home theater or those 2 new $600 chairs to sit in while watching "The price is right", which increased their monthly expenditure by $400 ... of course, they couldn't live without the new stainless steel upgrades in the kitchen and the new granite counter tops, so a they got a HELOC for $18,000 48 months into the purchase of the home and that runs them another $500 a month, then another renewal on another car 10 months ago ...

    So let me see if I've got this right, their mortgage payment will reset in 5 months - right.? ... they knew this 60 months ago (but still leased $80,000 in vehicles) .. they knew this 52 months ago but still couldn't live without that $10,000 home theater .. they knew this 48 months ago before the HELOC and they knew this 10 months ago before the lease renewal ...

    --- And they want to blame the housing market and discharge all of their bad debt on the American public..???


    -

  • Paisano1
    Check out the POA. ALT-A and ARM reset charts here:

    http://tinyurl.com/558bbd

    POA has not even begun to reset, and will not be done until 2012. Not even close to bottom, and SoCal is tripply screwed with the high concentrsation of Neg Am POA's.
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