Archive for September, 2008

Ill Advised Words On The Part of Speaker Pelosi

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At a time when Speaker of The House, Nancy Pelosi, should have been reaching out to Republicans in the House — many of whom were already wary of the bailout legislation — Speaker Pelosi chose to take a few moments to attack Republicans in general and the President in particular.  After the rant, most Republicans, and a sizable number of Democrats, voted to kill the legislation.

Now, this was going to be a difficult piece of legislation for members of the House to support in the first place because it is deeply unpopular with many Americans and we’re five weeks away from a national election.  Obviously many are worried about losing their jobs.

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Unlucky 7’s

The Dow is down 777+ points ($1.1 trillion in market value) today as I write this as the bailout bill failed the House of Representatives.  Of course, I’m in no place to write at the moment, so here are some links:

Post yours (and vote for your favorites) at: http://news.blownmortgage.com/
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New Commemorative Dollar to be printed for bail out funds

The U.S. Treasury is considering a new, special dollar to be printed to help finance the housing bail out.  Initial prints have been leaked to select media outlets.  We were lucky to get our hands on the new design (h/t Graeme):

 

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Wachovia - Time to Bail?

A guest post by new Blownmortgage.com contributor, MG Dungan.  MG has gone from Wharton to Wall St. to real estate to Blown Mortgage. And we’re excited.  I hope you are too.

After last week, and last weekend in particular, we can’t help but wonder who’s next.

Although possibly a ploy to gain passage of the Paulson Bailout Plan, Saturday, September 27, CBS News reported that “Senator Robert Bennett (R-Utah), a key member of the Senate Banking Committee, warned that another major US bank was ‘teetering’ on the edge of failure.”

Although we rarely take anything from a senator at face value, and I’m being kind, this time we’re believers, at least of the teetering part. However, passage of a bailout plan will have little impact at this point on whether any US financial company remains independent.

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The LOLCats hit the bailout

Friday Bailout Funny. (h/t Graeme)

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I hate to say it, but I told you so about Washington Mutual

So the biggest bank failure in the history of our country occurred yesterday and quite frankly was somewhat of a non-event. The quick FDIC step-in and subsequent fire sale to JP Morgan kept bank failure on page two with the $700 billion federal bailout clearly the bigger headline. This is something that hopefully not too many people got burned by. The writing has been on the wall for months, and if you chose to gamble with your money above the FDIC limits then I have little sympathy for you. The WaMu failure was like a big spinning hurricane that took forever to land - if you didn’t evacuate ahead of time shame on you.

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Mr. Greenspan, please shut up

This guest post is from: Constantine von Hoffman, a veteran business journalist who writes the blog CollateralDamage.biz, a humorous look at marketing, business and his dog. If you’d like to submit a guest post drop me an email.

From his lips…

“There’s no question that this is in the process of outstripping anything I’ve seen, and it still is not resolved and it still has a way to go,” Alan Greenspan said last Sunday. This sentence can be applied equally to both the sub-prime/credit-crunch/what-have-you mess and the destruction of Greenspan’s reputation as a financial genius.

Each passing bankruptcy makes it clearer that Mr. Irrational Exuberance is responsible for the two things at the heart of this entire thing: Easy credit and minimal oversight.

His constant refusal to raise interest rates meant that more money was always available for any thing – whether or not that thing was actually economically sustainable. At the time most said this was “finessing” the problem. Now it is clear to all of us – just as it was to some at the time – that finesse is another word for delay. And with each delay, the size of the problem compounded.

To make it worse, Greenspan and the Fed did nothing to see if these loans were actually any good.
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Here are the key housing bailout questions no one is asking

This guest post is from: Constantine von Hoffman, a veteran business journalist who writes the blog CollateralDamage.biz, a humorous look at marketing, business and his dog.  If you’d like to submit a guest post drop me an email.

Here’s a heretical notion: How much CEOs get from the bailout doesn’t matter. It’s a smokescreen, red meat being tossed to the public to make it seem as though the bad guys won’t get away scott-free.

While limits on pay packages for executives whose firms seek assistance from the government will be part of the whatever settlement gets reached, it will have no real impact on the bailout. But it will give the politicians something to beat their chests about and say that they have stood up to Big Business.

Don’t believe a word of it. This is a perfect example of what H.L. Mencken meant when he wrote, “The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.” While there’s no doubt that we face a crisis there is plenty of doubt about whether or not this bailout is the right solution. We have yet to see anything resembling a logical, detailed and convincing case for the bailout, just a lot of smoke and noise. 

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The Almost-Averted Crisis

Everyone is looking for someone to blame in regards to our current crisis.  Here are a couple of article excerpts which add some clarity to the whole picture.  First, an excerpt from the NY Times covering the Bush Administration’s push (in 2003!) for a new regulator to oversee Fannie and Freddie, along with new guidelines:

The Bush administration today recommended the most significant regulatory overhaul in the housing finance industry since the savings and loan crisis a decade ago.

Under the plan, disclosed at a Congressional hearing today, a new agency would be created within the Treasury Department to assume supervision of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-sponsored companies that are the two largest players in the mortgage lending industry.

The new agency would have the authority, which now rests with Congress, to set one of the two capital-reserve requirements for the companies. It would exercise authority over any new lines of business. And it would determine whether the two are adequately managing the risks of their ballooning portfolios.

The plan is an acknowledgment by the administration that oversight of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac — which together have issued more than $1.5 trillion in outstanding debt — is broken. A report by outside investigators in July concluded that Freddie Mac manipulated its accounting to mislead investors, and critics have said Fannie Mae does not adequately hedge against rising interest rates.

Both Freddie and Fannie responded favorably to the President’s proposal.  Unfortunately, some in congress were not so favorably disposed to support Fannie and Freddie Reform.  Rep. Barney Frank had this to say regarding the President’s proposal:

“These two entities — Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac — are not facing any kind of financial crisis,” said Representative Barney Frank of Massachusetts, the ranking Democrat on the Financial Services Committee. ”The more people exaggerate these problems, the more pressure there is on these companies, the less we will see in terms of affordable housing.”

With the administration’s push and Greenspan’s urging, the legislation appeared to be well on it’s way to becoming law.  However, as noted by Kevin Hassett of Bloomberg News, the legislation was dealt a fatal blow:

In 2005, 2006 and 2007, a blizzard of terrible mortgage paper fluttered out of the Fannie and Freddie clouds, burying many of our oldest and most venerable institutions. Without their checkbooks keeping the market liquid and buying up excess supply, the market would likely have not existed.

But the bill didn’t become law, for a simple reason: Democrats opposed it on a party-line vote in the committee, signaling that this would be a partisan issue. Republicans, tied in knots by the tight Democratic opposition, couldn’t even get the Senate to vote on the matter.

This is a developing story.  Expect more to follow.

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Congress Adjournment and Artificial Deadlines

This guest post is from: Constantine von Hoffman, a veteran business journalist and writes the blog CollateralDamage.biz, a humorous look at marketing, business and his dog.  If you’d like to submit a guest post drop me an email.

Every news story about the bailout makes it sound as if Friday is some sort of do-or-die deadline. It’s not. It is just the day Congress wanted to adjourn so they could get home and do some campaigning. Given the magnitude of the crisis and the size of the pig in this particular poke, it’s time for Congress to get its priorities in order. If ever there was a piece of legislation that needed to be carefully considered, this is it.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid has said that one of the reasons for adjourning is that “no one knows what to do” at the moment. Senator, that means this is exactly the time when you need to stay at your job and figure it out.

Personally, I have deep doubts about the Paulson/Bernanke plan. It seems like a case of throwing more money at a problem that has already not responded to the amazing amount of money thrown at it. Whether or not this is the case, it certainly is a hasty and desperate move and deserves a thoughtful consideration. It obviously needs more oversight. Just the idea of whether the government should buy these assets at a premium or discounted price needs some very close examination.

These issues and many more make it essential that Congress not adjourn now. We, the people, need our representatives to be fully informed before making a decision like this. This is the one duty Congress has, the one reason we vote for them in the first place. This duty easily trumps the mere career issue of whether or not they get some extra time in the home district.

If these reasons weren’t enough, let’s put to rest the notion that most members of Congress even need to campaign. Unless we take a notable deviation from history, something like 90+% of them are going to get re-elected. As the historian Thomas Patterson has noted: “Only about three dozen of the 435 House seats were actually in play in 2002. In nearly twice that many districts, there was literally no competition: the weaker major party did not bother even to nominate a candidate. And in several hundred other districts, the competition was so one-sided that the result was known even before the campaign began. As was the case in 2000, the victors in House races won by an average margin of more than two to one.” The percentages are even worse in the senate.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has defended the adjournment by saying that lawmakers can always be recalled to Washington “if there is a need to do so.” Mrs. Pelosi, the need is already here. The time is now and your duty is clear. If Congress adjourns now it will be the most irresponsible action by a politician since Nero fiddled through the burning of Rome.

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