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It’s Not Over!

by Morgan on August 25, 2008

Even with the cheerleaders trying to put a sunny face on the credit crisis we’re still not out of the woods yet. We’ve had another bank failure and we’re still looking at billions in write downs. But feel free to sing “the sun will come out tomorrow” if it makes you feel warm and fuzzy inside.

Some of the dour news of the day – just to make sure the message isn’t being lost on everyone.

From Market Watch:

U.S. stocks dropped on Monday, retreating from the last session’s strong gains, as oil remained near $115 a barrel and as concerns about mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac continued to weigh on investor sentiment.

“Financial stresses are still permeating global financial systems, despite massive accommodation from the Fed,” said analysts at Action Economics.

And Bloomberg:

AIG, the world’s largest insurer, tumbled 5 percent after Credit Suisse Group said the company may lose $2.41 billion this quarter on mortgage-related writedowns. Huntington Bancshares Inc. and KeyCorp each dropped more than 3 percent after Columbian Bank & Trust Co. became the ninth U.S. bank to collapse this year.

Morgan Stanley cut its year-end forecast for the S&P 500 on concern banks will report more credit-related writedowns and the global economic slowdown will curb profits at technology and industrial companies.

“Our biggest concern for 2009 earnings estimates is that a combination of global growth slowdown, declining operating leverage, a stronger U.S. dollar, less share count reduction and a long tail to dysfunctional credit markets will create powerful headwinds for what appear to very optimistic consensus expectations,” Abhijit Chakrabortti wrote in a note to clients dated yesterday.

Last 3 posts by Morgan

Related posts:

  1. Citi, UBS, Merrill Lynch may face more writedowns
  2. Lehman may mark down $61 billion worth of mortgage assets
  3. HSBC writes down $3.9 billion
  4. New Commercial Real Estate Lending Index Introduced
  5. Mortgage loan applications & rates increase

  • Johnnymac
    For the love of God, can't you find anything positive to write about? We all need something to build on instead of more reasons to stay on the ledge.
  • there's plenty of pumpers out there - any mainstream newspaper or the
    NAR can take care of that for you.
  • Don
    JM,

    Morgan is brutely honest, that's why this blog is so successful. As a card carrying member of NAR and NAMB, I appreciate the honesty. Frankly, there just isn't that much good news. I'm still waiting for those lying SOB's on Wall Street to go to jail, and they still haven't learned that the investment banks need to open up their books for full transparency. I'm really tired of people like Larry Kudlow and Dennis Kneale who are total pod people.

    With that being said, there were a lot reports that sales were way up last month, but there will still be a flood of REO's going on the market for the rest of the year. It should flatten next spring, but you can write the rest of the year off.
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