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	<title>Comments on: Housing Starts Jump in April</title>
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	<link>http://blownmortgage.com/2008/05/16/housing-starts-jump-in-april/</link>
	<description>#1 Free Home Loan Modification &#38; Debt Relief Help For US Home Owners - Truths, Facts &#38; News About the Mortgage Industry</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sat, 07 Nov 2009 02:53:18 -0700</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>By: I-Man</title>
		<link>http://blownmortgage.com/2008/05/16/housing-starts-jump-in-april/comment-page-1/#comment-12648</link>
		<dc:creator>I-Man</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 May 2008 15:36:36 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>From TheBigPcture blog, economist Barry Ritzholtz succinctly shows how meaningless this 8.2% figure is.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;HOUSING STARTS &lt;br&gt;Privately-owned housing starts in April were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,032,000. This is 8.2 percent (±14.5%)* above the revised March estimate of 954,000, but is 30.6 percent (±6.7%) below the revised April 2007 rate of 1,487,000.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;As is so often the case, the devil is in the details:&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;As far as the April Hosuing Starts go, a monthly change (seasonally adjusted annual rate) was 8.2%, versus an estimated relative standard error of ±14.5%.  Hence, the monthly change is not statistically significant; that is, it is uncertain whether there was an increase or decrease in Housing Starts from March to April.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;As to the 30.6% year over year drop -- that is ±6.7% -- and therefore is statistically significant.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;In other words,  MSM headlines (as usual) give a misleading impression.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>From TheBigPcture blog, economist Barry Ritzholtz succinctly shows how meaningless this 8.2% figure is.</p>
<p>HOUSING STARTS <br />Privately-owned housing starts in April were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,032,000. This is 8.2 percent (±14.5%)* above the revised March estimate of 954,000, but is 30.6 percent (±6.7%) below the revised April 2007 rate of 1,487,000.</p>
<p>As is so often the case, the devil is in the details:</p>
<p>As far as the April Hosuing Starts go, a monthly change (seasonally adjusted annual rate) was 8.2%, versus an estimated relative standard error of ±14.5%.  Hence, the monthly change is not statistically significant; that is, it is uncertain whether there was an increase or decrease in Housing Starts from March to April.</p>
<p>As to the 30.6% year over year drop &#8212; that is ±6.7% &#8212; and therefore is statistically significant.</p>
<p>In other words,  MSM headlines (as usual) give a misleading impression.</p>
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		<title>By: Fannie Mae scraps higher downpayment requirements &#171; The Lyons Den</title>
		<link>http://blownmortgage.com/2008/05/16/housing-starts-jump-in-april/comment-page-1/#comment-10999</link>
		<dc:creator>Fannie Mae scraps higher downpayment requirements &#171; The Lyons Den</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 May 2008 17:59:04 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>[...] related news Housing Starts Jumped in [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] related news Housing Starts Jumped in [...]</p>
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