Archive for January, 2008

SunTrust to close several wholesale branches around the country

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SunTrust is planning on closing their Denver, Dallas and Richmond wholesale branches within the next 60 days according to a highly reliable source.

From the SunTrust Web site:

SunTrust Mortgage, Inc. is a wholly-owned subsidiary of SunTrust Bank - a $180.3 billion financial institution operating in Virginia, the District of Columbia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee and Florida. Currently, SunTrust Mortgage, Inc. originates loans through 214 locations in SunTrust markets and adjacent states, maintains correspondent and broker relationships in 49 states and services loans in 50 states and the District of Columbia.

We’ll provide more details as they come available; but for now just more of the same. Wholesale branches seem to be the first on the chopping block for any lender looking to weather the storm.

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Mortgage Rates are…. UP!

You heard it right folks.  For those of you playing roulette trying to game the mortgage interest rate market in light of recent Fed activity let this be a good lesson.  The Fed cuts and mortgage interest rates go higher.  Don’t be fooled in to believing that the interest rates you pay on your mortgage are in lock-step with the Fed.  They aren’t, and if you try to game the system that way you’ll certainly miss out on opportunity.

From the Market Watch story covering the rising mortgage rates:

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.68% during the week ending Jan. 31, up from last week’s 5.48%. The mortgage averaged 6.34% a year ago. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.17%, up from 4.95%. The mortgage averaged 6.06% a year ago.

Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 5.32%, up from last week’s 5.13%. The ARM averaged 6.04% a year ago. And 1-year Treasury -indexed ARMs averaged 5.05%, up from 4.99%. The ARM averaged 5.54% a year ago.

To obtain the rates, the 30-year and 15-year fixed rate mortgage, along with the 5-year ARM, required payment of an average 0.4 point. The 1-year ARM required payment of an average 0.7 point. A point is 1% of the mortgage amount, charged as prepaid interest.

Graeme wrote an excellent post on the problems with gaming the mortgage interest rate market last week.  If you have a rate that puts you in a better financial situation take the opportunity to improve your loan; and ensure that the loan product you choose allows you flexibility to make additional changes.

 

This gives you the best of both worlds.  You get protection against rising rates with flexibility should rates start to fall again.

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Jobless claims indicate “border-line recession warning.”

Jobless claims surged and sent stocks plummeting in the opening minutes today as traders worried about the possible onset of the credit/housing-bust led recession.  First time claims rose by 69,000 to 375,000 smoking estimates of a smaller rise of jobless claims to 320,000.

Even factoring in for seasonal volatility the number came as a shock to people on Wall Street.  From the Market Watch story on the higher jobless claims:

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 69,000 in the week ended Jan. 26, reaching 375,000, the Labor Department reported Thursday. It marked the highest level since early October — and the biggest weekly jump since September 2005 in the wake of Hurricane Katrina.

Non-seasonally adjusted claims actually fell in the latest week, but seasonal factors expected a much steeper decline.

All the same, Robert Brusca, chief economist at FAO Economics, said that, despite the technical noise, claims are now indicating a “border-line recession warning.”

The spike in jobless claims tied with the continued turmoil in the credit markets and the tapering-off of consumer spending are not the way most people bullish on the economy would like to see them headed.  Consumer spending is an important one to watch as many believe the economy was propped up on home equity withdrawals as part of the housing bubble.

In addition, the Commerce Department reported that real consumer spending flattened out in December, further evidence that the economy was getting weaker as the fourth quarter sputtered to an end.

 

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Fed Cuts Rate .5% - Dollar Last Seen Headed for Mexico

Citing a weakening economic environment the Federal Reserve cut interest rates 50 basis points in an attempt to soften the impending economic crash landing.  In other news the dollar was seen shooting glares of jealousy at its friend the Euro.

From the Fed statement:

 ”Financial markets remain under considerable stress, and credit has tightened further for some businesses and households,” according to the central bank. “Moreover, recent information indicates a deepening of the housing contraction as well as some softening in labor markets.”

Clearly the path chosen is one of an attempt to sustain the unsustainable.  Lower borrowing costs do not fix the problem of solvency that is rampant in America.  On the other hand grab the  low rates while you can - while we may see further easing the Fed has removed some of the stronger language that points to guaranteed future rate cuts.

From the Market Watch article on the Fed rate cut:

Economists detected some effort by the Fed to cool expectations that the Fed would slash interest rates in coming months.

They noted that the Fed removed language saying that downside risks were “appreciable.” In addition, the Fed said that the rate cuts taken to date should promote “moderate growth over time.”

Shepherdson said he was not surprised the Fed would hint at slower easing.

“They were probably nervous expectations would run away,” and wanted to maintain some degree of flexibility, he said.

What do you think?

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FBI Investigating 14 Companies in Mortgage Securitization Fraud

Market Watch is reporting that the FBI is scrutinizing 14 companies related to the mortgage industry at all levels of the securitization process as part of their investigation in to the mortgage meltdown.

 Agents are looking into allegations of fraud in several stages of the mortgage securitization process, in which home loans are packaged up by investment banks and sold as securities to institutional investors, Brian Hale, an FBI spokesman explained. He declined to name the companies being investigated.

Housing Wire has some additional information on the FBI’s mortgage company investigation which has yet to name any company names.

The FBI is the latest to get in to the investigation act and I would suspect that we will see many more of these over the next year and a half.  Housing Wire notes that bankrupt firms are not exempt from the investigation which means that executives that ran the companies that made an early exit may still be on the hook for activity at the now-defunct lenders.

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Hillary Clinton’s One-Sided Mortgage Reform Plans

We’re picking up speed in the Presidential campaign and with the California primaries fast approaching I thought it would be worthwhile to take a look at how some of the candidates stack up when it comes to mortgage reform and their position on the mortgage mess.

We’ll look at all of the front-runners: Clinton, Obama, Edwards, Romney, McCain, Huckabee, Guliani and Paul. If we lose any of them before I get to them we’ll thin accordingly. I’m already looking at the list wondering what I got myself in to with this idea.

Let me just disclose nice and early on that I am a Republican who is probably going to vote for Mccain; but know that I’ll do my best to keep plain “politics” out of this analysis.

Hillary ClintonHillary Clinton and Mortgage Reform

Clinton has made several high-profile mortgage reform speeches and has proposed a comprehensive plan to deal with abusive lending practices relating to subprime lending.

From her web site and plan to reign in abusive mortgage lending:

  • Require mortgage brokers to disclose to borrowers that their compensation rises when borrowers’ mortgage rates and mortgage fees are high.
  • Work with states to develop strong licensing standards and require federal registration for mortgage brokers.
  • Eliminate prepayment penalties on mortgage products.
  • Require mortgage lenders to include the cost of taxes and insurance in the underwriting assessment of higher-risk mortgages.
  • Establish a $1 billion fund to assist state programs that help at-risk borrowers avoid foreclosure.
  • Expand Fannie Mae’s and Freddie Mac’s Foreclosure Prevention Efforts.
  • Establish a $1 billion fund to provide federal support to housing trust funds established by state, county, and municipal governments.
  • Expanding access to independent face-to-face counseling; restricting prepayment penalties for subprime mortgages; requiring “plain-talk, no-fine-print disclosure”; promoting “foreclosure timeout” in which at-risk borrowers and lenders work out alternatives to foreclosure; and strengthening the Federal Housing Administration so that it could provide more homebuyers with an alternative to the subprime market.

An Analysis of Clinton’s Mortgage Plans

Looking at Clinton’s high-level plan for mortgage reform and reducing abusive lending standards it is clear that Clinton has focused hard in on brokers as the main source of predatory lending and abusive practices that have caused much of the pain in the U.S. housing market.

Clinton - It’s the Mortgage Brokers’ Fault

Clinton is a clear advocate of pinning the mortgage mess firmly on the back’s of mortgage brokers. Deal points in her mortgage reform plan only address additional regulation and licensing of mortgage brokers; with little reform directed at lenders.

A direct quote from her Web site reads:

Unscrupulous brokers have steered people into high cost mortgages, qualified them for loans they could not afford, and attached fees unnecessarily. These brokers are responsible for many of the lending abuses that occurred in recent years, but there is no single, national source for information about individual brokers. Hillary will establish national registration for brokers so that prospective borrowers can easily look up a broker’s employment history, violations, complaints, and other information. As President, she will also work with the states to develop strong licensing standards to ensure that mortgage brokers are qualified and properly screened.

I don’t think the lines can be drawn any clearer than that. Hillary clearly pins the problems of the housing market on mortgage brokers and will be heavy-handed in handing down new legislation to regulate and manage their existence.

An Overly Simplistic Point of View

This view of the market is overly-simplified and stinks of election-year hot-topic politicking without an in-depth examination of core issues. Hillary seems to forget some of the biggest cases of fraud and malfeasance in the mortgage arena come from the likes of Ameriquest, Countrywide and Washington Mutual. While brokers are a problem, and a national registry is a great step in the right direction; it is inappropriate to focus all of the attention on brokers as the primary source of the problems with predatory lending. Lenders are clearly culpable and deserve a closer look to ensure that their excesses are not forgiven strictly due to their size, legal teams and donation checks.

Pulling for the Big Banks

Clinton’s legislative plan would clearly be a boon to the large federal banks that would be unencumbered with the costs and requirements that are surely to be attached to the mortgage broker regulations. As smaller, under-capitalized mortgage brokers get caught up in red tape it will be business as usual for the large banks. This clearly creates an uneven playing field with a huge advantage to the large oligopoly that are the major banking interests.

What Clinton Should Push for is a Level Lending Ground and Universal Standard

Instead of pinning the blame on mortgage brokers; taking the easy fall guy and winning cheap votes, she should look to normalize the lending laws between state and federally chartered institutions. By moving the lending industry towards a level playing ground she will necessarily push the mortgage brokers towards oversight in line with the banking industry while not creating unfair advantages for federally-chartered institutions.

Making Money More Expensive By Eliminating Pre-Payment Penalties

Clinton’s goal of greatly reducing prepayment penalties is a noble one; but one that may result in higher borrowing costs as banks look to replace lost revenue with a larger interest rate spread across all loan products. I believe that access to private money should not be overly regulated with the terms of the agreements signed by two private parties (as in a subprime mortgage) as to the options that borrowers have to choose a lower monthly payment. Without pre-payment penalties borrowers are often looking at interest rates 75 basis points (.75%) higher in interest rate. This definitely causes a material impact on the cost of borrowing.

While I do agree that FHA should be modernized and expanded to accommodate more borrowers looking for loans with better terms; those that are unable to qualify under conforming or government assistance should have access to funds where costs are mitigated by choosing features such as a prepayment penalty to make out-of-the-box financing more affordable.

A Reversal in Belief?

In 2001 then Senator Clinton voted with President Bush to reform personal bankruptcy law to make it harder for individuals to qualify for Chapter 7 bankruptcy - putting the burden of debt back on to the borrower. Barack Obama has criticized Clinton for the vote pointing to that vote as a vote in favor of large banks and credit card companies over the American public.

From the Wall Street Journal:

The Bankruptcy Reform Act of 2001 that Sen. Clinton voted for eventually died in Congress, but a similar measure became law in 2005. Sen. Clinton has said she would have opposed the 2005 bill, but she missed the vote because she was with her husband during surgery.

The 2001 bill “had some things I agreed with and other things I didn’t agree with, and I was happy that it never became law,” Sen. Clinton said at a Jan. 15 debate in Las Vegas.

The 2005 law made it more difficult for people to qualify for Chapter 7 bankruptcy, which lets individuals pay creditors a portion of the debt they owe. Instead, the new law directed more people toward Chapter 13 bankruptcy, which requires repayment plans.

“Reform is needed,” Sen. Clinton said in 2001, according to a news release still on her Senate office’s Web site. “The right kind of reform is necessary. We’re on our way toward that goal, and I hope we can achieve final passage of a good bankruptcy reform bill this year.”

The credit-card and banking industries spent millions of dollars lobbying for the law, arguing it was necessary to prevent people from abusing the bankruptcy system and unfairly escaping debt. But liberal and consumer groups countered that the law traps consumers struggling with their finances.

Both the 2001 and 2005 bills “were bad ideas because they were pushed by the credit-card companies, they were pushed by the mortgage companies and they put the interests of those banks and financial institutions ahead of the interests of the American people,” Sen. Obama said at the Las Vegas debate. “And this is typical.”

Siding with Big Banks?

One has to wonder with Clinton’s backing of the 2001 Bankruptcy reform bill and the blatant bias against mortgage brokers in her mortgage reform plan how deep in the pocket she is with big banks? Will she continue to ignore the role of big banks in our current mortgage crisis and put in bank-friendly legislation like she attempted to do with the 2001 vote?

Mortgage Brokers Be Afraid

If you are a mortgage broker planning on voting for Hillary Clinton it is definitely worth a look at her policy stance on your profession. While I’m sure she’d gladly take your vote and your money she isn’t looking to make your life any easier in the coming years.

What do you think?

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Countrywide Posts $400+ Million Loss - Loan Production Tanks

Countrywide reported that it lost $422 million last quarter while watching loan production sink nearly a third from $90 billion to $61 billion.  This comes on the heals of an expected B of A takeover; the plans of which are to be unveiled today by Bank of America.  Many believe that a poor performance by Countrywide could unwind the potential takeover.

From Market Watch:

The Calabasas, Calif.-based company swung to a loss of $422 million, or 79 cents a share, while provision for credit losses totaled $924 million, down from $937 million in the third quarter. Reserve for credit losses stood at $1.9 billion at the end of 2007, the company said.

Ken Lewis, Bank of America’s CEO is making a presentation later Tuesday and is expected to discuss the planned takeover of Countrywide. Analysts have speculated that a poor fourth quarter earnings report could nix the deal.

Also Tuesday, Countrywide said loan production in the fourth quarter plunged to $61 billion, down from $90 billion in the third quarter and from $118 billion in the year-ago fourth quarter.

“This decline reflects a smaller origination market, which is largely attributable to the tightening of underwriting and loan program guidelines throughout the industry, as well as economic conditions and the lack of liquidity for non agency-eligible loans,” the company said.

Can’t you see the B of A board of directors sitting back after the flurry of deal making with a nice dose of buyer’s remorse saying “do we really want this piece of crap?”

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You Can Go Stated as Long as Your Not ‘Industry’

Stated income has always been laughable to me.  For the most part the way that it’s been implemented in the industry is as outright fraud - pick a number that makes the loan work and find a way to justify it to the brain-dead underwriting team that is just trying to hit their numbers.  Now, I don’t need the 10 comments about what stated income was originally designed for, and how it helps self-employed people; we get it.  Simply put, a huge portion of the fraud in our industry can be attributed to stated income loan products.

No Stated for Mortgage Professionals

One of my favorite ironies of the recent credit crunch has been the policy that many banks have taken towards those in the mortgage, real estate and home building industries.  That policy is to require all people in those industries to fully document their income.  As they say in the business “you can go stated if you’re not in the industry.”  It seems to be the ultimate irony.  The banks are wary most of those who would be most likely to “game” the system - and those people just happen to be the same folks send loans to them.

Some of the more prudent banks have had this policy in place since day one - recognizing the massive conflict of interest that the relationship holds.  Others, greedy for every dollar and loan, ignored the conflict completely - until loans held by those in the industry started going sour like milk 2-days past the “use by” date.

It’s a ringing indictment to the malfeasance that oozes out of the origination community.  Not only does it say “we know you don’t make anything close to what you made last year” it also says “we don’t trust you in the least,” both of which are responsible positions to take if you’re a bank dealing with folks on the origination side.  Is it a sad statement that those with the tools cannot be trusted to use them responsibly by those that provide them?  I think so.

Funny how banks will accept stated income from other professions of dubious repute and squirrelly income documentation but outright refuse those in the industry.  Conflict of interest is right - there is no question that mortgage brokers, retail loan officers, appraisers, processors and underwriters were some of the biggest offenders when it came to using the “stated income” loop hole in qualifying for financing they had no chance of receiving.

Stated income is gone in Minnesota, Colorado, pending in North Carolina and may soon be on its death bed in California.  While it will be difficult for self-employed folks to qualify for a loan banks will need to “invent” a more responsible product that can fill the needs of the self-employed mortgage borrower without exposing itself to the massive fraud that stated income perpetuated across the entire industry.

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A BIG, heartfelt THANK YOU!

I just wanted to take a minute to say thank you to those that have contributed to Blown Mortgage over the last couple of months.  Tom, Chris, Graeme, Matthew, Ricardo and Sean. I greatly appreciate your effort, expertise and insight that you have brought to Blown Mortgage.  Thank you deeply for your support and contributions.

I have decided to turn Blown Mortgage back to a one-man band after a trial run at multi-contributors.  It wasn’t for anything other than a selfish interest on my part to feel reconnected with the Blown Mortgage crew.  I felt too disconnected without any need to contribute that often, check back on conversations, or other.  Essentially I was letting the blog and you all down.

To fix it I had to bring it back to the form when it inspired me most - when it was a sounding board for what I thought about the industry.  So here we are again.

Thank you so much to the contributors mentioned above.  Without them there is no telling where Blown Mortgage would be and I appreciate their contributions immensely.

Humbly,
Morgan

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Conforming Loan Limit Increase in Jeopardy

Put away the champagne folks - the conforming loan limit increase seems to be in jeopardy.

According to Inman News:

But an increase in the conforming loan limit faces opposition in the Senate, where Sen. Richard Shelby, R-Ala., is sticking with the position previously held by the Bush administration: that any increase in the conforming loan limit should be tied to strengthening oversight of Fannie and Freddie (”the GSEs,” or government-sponsored entities).

A spokesman for Shelby, the ranking Republican on the Senate Banking Committee, said he “believes that consideration of raising the conforming loan limit should be done carefully within the context of broader and meaningful GSE reform.”

In Shelby’s judgment, “doing so in the absence of such a process enables thinly capitalized entities with recent accounting problems to provide a high-risk benefit to the wealthiest Americans without any real consideration of the need to do so or of the risks it presents to the taxpayer,” a spokesman for the senator, Jonathan Graffeo, told Inman News in an e-mail.

I’ll go out on a limb and say that any stimulus package without some shot in the arm to the GSE’s is going to fall terribly flat.  After all, how many mortgage payments can you make with an extra $300?

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