Citi Starts the Death March of Stated Loans in Earnest

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Citi released some guideline changes in the wholesale changes that can be described easily as the first big step towards killing stated income loans. I’m not sure if these are reflected on the retail side as well. The big changes? 75% max loan-to-value on rate and term refinances with a minimum FICO score of 720. That guideline change essentially narrows the universe of qualified borrowers to a thin sliver of the home-owning population these days.

Other details on the stated income guideline restrictions:

70% max LTV on cash-out refinances

Increased FICO requirements from 660-720 to 680-720 for SIVA

Increased FICO requirements from 660-720 to 700-740 for SISA

Click the thumbnail below for the full details:


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New Program Guidelines - Friday HAHA

Thanks to reader Bill for this great little Friday fun.  If you’re in the industry, check out the new program guidelines matrix (PDF) and have a laugh on us this Friday.

– Morgan

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Canseco heads to foreclosure

vindicatedHe may be “Vindicated” but Jose Canseco is letting his Encino, California mansion go in to foreclosure as the housing market has tanked. He doesn’t see any point in making the payments any more. The $7.7 million house makes for some expensive jingle mail. What happens when the wealthy start walking away? When does preserving your credit score not matter? Where is that line? When is that decision made? Will it become easier for people as we get in to this mess? Will this generation be defined by subprime, bad credit and the shirking of all financial responsibility?

Housing Wire has the amusing/scary tale via the AP:

Canseco told the syndicated TV show “Inside Edition” that he walked away from his $2.5 million, 7,300-square foot home in suburban Encino because it didn’t make sense to continue making payments …

“What about other families that we’re hearing on TV, that they’re saying, `We have nowhere else to go,’” he said. “I mean, that is amazing. I’ve got books (he’s put out two expose-type books on drug use in baseball), we’re now trying to produce the movie to both.

“Like I said, my situation was a little more different than most. I decided to just let it (the house) go, but in most cases and most families, they have nowhere else to go.”

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David Lereah poster boy for the housing bubble says it will get worse

For the eternal optimists your boy David Lereah, your ace-in-the-hole, your go-to expert who predicted a “soft-landing” and wrote the book “Why the Real Estate Boom Will Not Bust” is saying that we’re in for a lot worse. So stop looking for a bottom. It must be tough when your hero, your clutch hitter finally gives up the fight. Who do you turn to? Lawrence Yun? He doesn’t have the panache, the swagger, the publishing credits!

Quick, somebody, find me someone with a pulse who thinks we’re in better shape now than we were 3, 6, 9 months ago. Please. The pumpers are defecting like crazy. David freaking Lereah is seeing the light?!?!

David Lereah for President. A man that can flip-flop this effectively deserves a sacred seat in Washington.

Pardon my rather churlish response to his whole mea culpa. I just find it rather fascinating. Any way. Dr. Housing Bubble did a great write-up on this very phenomenon. So here is a taste and be sure to check out the rest of his commentary.

“We’re not at the bottom,” he says. “[People] want it to be near the bottom, but we’re not there yet. The leading indicators are still very bad. Pending home sales are still in bad shape. Mortgage applications are low … There’s still supply out there in abundance … This thing is going to get worse before it gets better.”

That’s quite a turnabout from the view he articulated in his book, first published in 2005. There he argued that the solid economy, strong demographics (including immigration and aging boomers), and a lean supply of homes should lead prices to continue rising for years to come. “Today’s real estate market is the result of rational decision making based on supply and demand conditions,” he wrote. “With today’s economy, home owners are in no danger of experiencing a widespread fallout of home prices.”

“[I] just didn’t realize the scope, the extent, the magnitude of the loose underwriting-not looking at incomes and wages, just providing so many mortgage loans based on [expected] future price appreciation rather than the creditworthiness of the borrower,” Lereah says. “That got so out of hand, and none of us realized the magnitude of it until it was too late.”

david lereah

We’re taking nominees for the new poster boy. Feel free to suggest your write-ins in the comments.

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If you bought in 2006 its 50/50 you’re underwater

Zillow posted some interesting analysis today in which they claim that 50% of all home buyers who purchased a home in 2006 are now in a negative equity situation - underwater. That’s a mind-boggling stat don’t you think? It’s a coin flip really if you’re ahead or buried. Well probably not a coin flip as it is most likely self-selecting for the folks that stretched on financing in bubblesque territory.

To wit from Inman News on the 90% of the 2006 crop of Las Vegas home buyers who are upside down:

In the Las Vegas metro, about nine out of 10 homeowners who purchased in 2006 owe more than their home is worth.

From Zillow and their take on the housing market:

Conditions continued to worsen in Q1 as U.S. home values continued their slide down with the Zindex posting a 7.7% year-over-year decline, the sharpest decline we’ve ever seen in our data, which extends back to 1996. Not surprisingly, the market decline brought with it increasing rates of negative equity, with one out of two homeowners who purchased during the national market peak in 2006 currently “underwater” on their mortgage, or owing more on their mortgage than the home is currently worth. Even more alarming is the finding that almost 45% of homeowners who purchased last year (2007) are already underwater on their mortgages, a fact that drives home the rapidity of the market depreciation.

Here’s a great graph that represents the percentage of negative equity home owners by year purchased. 2007 was the wrong year to be buying as well.

negative equity graph

Of course, the analysis is based on the Zestimates so you have to take it with a grain of salt; but nevertheless it does point to some interesting insight for those folks looking to time the market.

From the looks of the graph it seems clear to me that we are way to early in to this thing to be calling bottom and for pointing out bargains. Nearly a third of buyers from this year (!!) are already underwater which doesn’t inspire a ton of confidence to run out there and try to find a “bargain.” Let’s duly trot out the all real estate is local refrain to placate the glass half-fuller’s but still is it an astonishing reality to anyone else that half of all home owners are underwater who purchased in 2006/2007?

And what does that mean to those markets? How long are the folks who stretched at the top of the market who are now upside down going to stick it out? How many more foreclosures are we going to see out of that ‘vintage’ of home owners? It does not portend a speedy recovery.

As I’ve said in the past don’t worry about missing this real estate bottom. As long as you’re not dead you’ll be able to spot it and take advantage of it. If you’re shopping for a home take your time if you value your money.

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Follow what I like on the Web

There is a lot of great stuff out there on the Web that interests me that if not for the lack of time I’d blog about here. If you’re looking for more mortgage news from the world around us simply click on the Google Reader icon google reader to get my shared items feed from my Google Reader.

I track more than 150+ RSS feeds from news and opinion sites and blogs and share a great deal of information that I just can’t get to on Blown Mortgage. So add my shared items to your RSS reader and get a full-dose of mortgage news from Blown Mortgage each and every day!

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Breaking: UBS Posts $11 billion loss - will cut 5,500 jobs

UBS posted a $11 billion first quarter loss after taking a whopping $19 billion in mortgage-related losses. The company will cut 5,500 jobs in a restructuring effort to save the banking giant. Ironically, UBS was praised as being conservative as the credit crunch got underway with it’s first $3 billion write down at the end of last year. Now the bank stands as the poster-child for mortgage-related beatings with write downs totaling $37 billion, and is downsizing and pulling out of several higher-risk banking enterprises in an attempt to save itself as a going concern.

From Market Watch on the UBS mortgage losses:

the Swiss investment-banking giant, swung to a first-quarter net loss of 11.54 billion Swiss francs ($11 billion) after posting some $19 billion of losses tied to U.S. mortgages and related securities as well as other structured products.

On the 5,500 job cuts at UBS by 2009:

UBS said Tuesday it plans to cut 5,500 jobs by the middle of next year, an effort meant to restructure the Swiss giant’s troubled investment bank. The Zurich-based bank will axe the jobs after massive write-downs on dud mortgage securities, totaling over $37 billion thus far.

It’s no wonder the bank is under investigation for improperly valuing its assets. $3 billion was touted as a purging of the system when UBS first came forward. Now with losses at 10x it looks more like fraud.

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Seniors Banking on Reverse Mortgage’s Stuck Without Cash

Back as the credit crunch was picking up steam wholesale account reps would parade in to our offices touting the saving grace of our brokerage - reverse mortgages. As a FHA-approved lender we were eligible to write reverse mortgages for seniors who had lots of equity, little cash, and no other assets to live off of (for the most part). These wholesale reps were excited because their banks had just opened up a new wave of products called “jumbo reverse mortgages” which went far beyond the lending limits of the FHA-insured Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM) for high-value areas such as California.

The siren call was the same - these loans were expensive and property-owners strapped for cash had little opportunity to extract equity in any other way. The jumbo reverse mortgages were the best solution and represented a hefty payday in times that were clearly becoming more lean and more mean as the credit crunch got into high gear. Jumbo reverse mortgages allowed homeowners who lived in expensive homes to tap large amounts of equity to support their retirement by either pulling out a lump sum of cash, taking a monthly stipend or opening up a line of credit. Without a monthly payment these loans are attractive to retirees looking for additional income.

Jumbo Reverse Mortgages Disappear Rather Quietly

But as the credit crunch has accelerated and the market for residential loan products dried up reverse mortgages became less attractive to investors. With property values declining and inflation increasing the risk profile of a “jumbo” reverse mortgage became too severe for banks. Specialists in reverse mortgages such as Financial Freedom quietly pulled the plug on their jumbo reverse mortgages back in March to little fanfare at the time. More recently Bank of America, UBS and Credit Suisse did the same.

The elimination of these products makes complete sense from a lender’s perspective. With housing prices dropping like a rock in water in the most highly-priced areas (such as California) the jumbo reverse mortgage were no longer a good bet. Lenders were more likely to end up with an undervalued asset at the maturation of the loan.

Unfortunately it has crippled retirees who were banking on home equity to make it through retirement.

Seniors banking on their house find themselves stuck

Seniors in California and other high-value areas who held on to their home as their primary retirement vehicle have been completely upended by the declining housing market, tightening underwriting guidelines and the elimination of jumbo reverse mortgage products. Many who were banking on their home and a reverse mortgage loan have found their borrowing capacity with the reverse mortgage to has been filleted - and those looking for the biggest loans are staring at the prospect of a very small reverse mortgage with very little cash as a result.

To add insult to injury retired seniors have seen traditional financing options dry up as loan availability to retired persons has reverted to fully-documented income loans which with large property and loan amounts in California are unrealistic, nay unattainable, financing options. Further, in this market they may be unable to sell their home for anywhere near the value it held just a few short months ago completely eliminating all access to equity in their home.

Seniors are Victims Here?

It’s hard to say that seniors who put all of their eggs in one basket are the victims in this case. Just as one who owns all their stock in one company - these seniors either bet wrong or didn’t pay attention to the fact that they weren’t diversified. It does pain me though to see seniors who are house poor not able to convert asset they are sitting on in to capital in any way, shape or form.

An instructive lesson?

The inability of seniors to obtain these jumbo reverse mortgages does go to show that equity in your home is not anything you really ever own. It is simply a measure of the current market and nothing more. Products are ephemeral, guidelines and value too. It will be interesting to track what happens to these seniors suddenly shut out from their retirement capital. These years suddenly don’t look so golden.

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Sponsored Review: Mortgage Loan Calculator

Here’s a sponsored review by Blown Mortgage about the Mortgage Loan Calculator Web site and Free mortgage widget.  Blown Mortgage provides sponsored reviews to companies who wish to promote their services to our readers.  You can learn more about a sponsored review from Blown Mortgage here.

What do you get when you cross Web 2.0 with a mortgage calculator?  Check out the Mortgage Loan Calculator web site and see for yourself.  Whether you’re a consumer or an industry vet the Mortgage Loan Calculator provides a great, free calculator for those of you looking to determine your monthly mortgage payment and pay-off schedule for your mortgage or other loan.  

The site has two calculators, a mortgage calculator and a simple loan calculator.  The mortgage calculator is robust and includes all of the factors you need to determine your actual amortization and pay-off schedule.  Once you’ve plugged in all the variables the program provides a slick-looking graph of the results with the resultant mortgage payments in an easy-to-read grid format below.

The Mortgage Calculator Widget Gives Your Blog Instant Functionality

The mortgage and loan calculator is available in a streamlined widget which can be placed right on your blog or web site by simply copying a few lines of code and pasting it in to your side bar or wherever you want to place the widget.  This is a great value-add for any loan officer or real estate agent looking to provide good-looking, functional, valuable content to readers.

I’ve installed the mortgage calculator widget here on the sidebar of Blown Mortgage to show you how it works.  When the user tries the calculator from your blog or site the results are displayed in a slick ‘modal window’ that keeps the users on your site and doesn’t require a pop-up window or any other distraction.  That’s what I call slick integration.

See how the graph and pay-off information simply overlays the blog so the users don’t have to leave to get the data.  I love the graph design too.

Totally Professional

The execution of this calculator is superb from the smooth sidebar integration, modal window results and AJAX-based graphs that are incredibly visually appealing.  I recommend anyone who is looking for a mortgage calculator to offer to their readers to add this Mortgage Loan Calculator.  It’s a great little application that delivers a lot of value in a user-friendly and well-executed way.  Even though this is a sponsored review I’m ecstatic I found it.  It will have a permanent home on Blown Mortgage and I recommend that you find a spot for it too.

 

 

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Countrywide ‘migrates’ 16 wholesale fulfillment centers in consolidation move

Countrywide announced the migration closing of 16 wholesale fulfillment centers in a consolidation move in the wholesale channel.  While I wouldn’t call it winding down, they definitely are a) responding to reduced demand and b) moving to the retail-centric strategy that is kicking butt for Bank of America and surely being evangelized/driven-down by the new ownership.

From Countrywide:

Dear Valued Business Partner: 

Thank you once again for your valued business and continuing support of Countrywide®, America’s Wholesale Lender®. Despite the widespread change that our industry has faced over the past year, one thing remains constant – Countrywide’s commitment to providing responsible lending solutions to ensure that more Americans have the opportunity to achieve and preserve homeownership.

Optimizing Our Business Model 

Consistent with modifications that we have made in the past to evolve the scale of our organization to the changing lending environment, we continue to focus on optimizing our business model for long-term success. As a result, we announced earlier today that we are adjusting our loan fulfillment operations as follows:

  • Effective immediately, 16 of our loan fulfillment locations will be migrated into our remaining distributed fulfillment network comprised of 26 Wholesale Fulfillment Centers.
  • Our Sales Management and Account Executives will continue to be located in the impacted markets to help ensure that we retain our local presence and uphold our commitment to serving our Business Partners and mutual borrowers within those markets.
  • Dedicated fulfillment teams have been added to the remaining fulfillment center locations to provide immediate support for our Business Partners and Account Executives in the impacted markets.

It is important to note that many of our Business Partners will not be directly impacted by these changes. If you are impacted by this move, however, a follow-up communication will be sent to you shortly with detailed information on your new loan fulfillment location and team members. In addition, you may log on to cwbc.com to view a list of the impacted loan fulfillment sites along with the corresponding new fulfillment locations and contacts. 

If you are currently served by one of our consolidating fulfillment locations, I assure you that we are taking measures to quickly and carefully migrate loan files in progress to your new loan fulfillment team. Your Account Executive and your new loan fulfillment team are standing by, ready to assist you with both existing and new loan submissions. 

Committed to Your Success 

The consolidation of these fulfillment locations enables us to better serve our Business Partners and mutual borrowers under a more efficient and sustainable loan fulfillment operating structure.

Though these changes are necessary to optimize our business model, I can assure you that they do not alter our focus on homeownership or our commitment to your success. 

Thank you once again for choosing Countrywide. 

Todd A. Dal Porto 
Senior Managing Director and President 

Countrywide, America’s Wholesale Lender 

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